BLADE-MARITIME Governance Simulator v3.11
SATA · ADARA · IFF · HMAA · MAIVA · FLAME · CARA · BDA · EFFECTOR
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19246785 · Burak Oktenli · Georgetown University · ORCID 0009-0001-8573-1667
PIPELINE
VALIDATION
MONTE CARLO
AUDIT CHAIN
GOVERNANCE
ASSURANCE
⚓ MISSION MAP
SATA
D-S Trust
τ=0.800
ADARA
Deception
P=0.000
IFF
AIS/Radar CPA
MATCH
HMAA
α(H)·τ·adj
A=0.800
MAIVA
BFT Median
Cons=0.82
FLAME
Δw Gate
PASS
CARA
GREP Phase
NOM
BDA
Threat Score
LOW
EFFECTOR
5-cond gate
OPEN
τ_fused (D-S)
0.800
K=0.000
Authority A
0.800
α(H)·τ·adj_factor
α(H) sea-state
1.000
H=0.3m
P_deception
0.000
ADARA Bayesian
IFF Class
MATCH
AIS-Radar CPA ε
BDA Threat
LOW
score=0.000
Unsafe Acts
0
/0 ticks
Trust · Authority · BDA Timeline
SATA Dempster-Shafer Mass Functions (K explicit)
m_hydro({T})=clip(γ_MF·SE_norm + γ_DEMON·ρ_DEMON, 0,1) · Pd_sonar
m_MAD({T})=δ_MAD if |B−B₀|>kσ else 0 · δ_MAD∈[0.3,0.7]
K=m_h({T})·m_MAD({¬T})+m_h({¬T})·m_MAD({T}) (conflict)
τ_fused=[m_h·m_M(Θ)+m_h(Θ)·m_M+m_h·m_M]/(1−K)
HMAA Sea-State α(H) · IFF CPA Correlation
IFF AIS-Radar Gate (ε_pos gate)
MAIVA BFT Weighted Median · Multi-Target Tracks
Active Track Table
TRKTYPERangeIFFBDAPdAuthority
INV-1
Trust Collapse → Authority Zero
□(τ_fused < 0.15 → A = 0) · MIL-STD-882E Class I hazard
HOLDS
Violations: 0
INV-2
No Out-of-Authority Command
□(relay_closed → A ≥ 0.45 ∧ IFF ≥ 0.5 ∧ BDA ≠ CRITICAL)
HOLDS
Violations: 0
INV-3
CARA Phases Mutually Exclusive
□(¬(GOVERN ∧ RESTRICT) ∧ ¬(RESTRICT ∧ EXECUTE) ∧ ¬(EXECUTE ∧ PERSIST))
HOLDS
Violations: 0
INV-4
FLAME Deliberation Enforced
□(flame_transition → elapsed ≥ Δw ∨ LOCKOUT_override)
HOLDS
Blocked: 0
INV-5
MAIVA BFT Consensus Valid
□(byzantine_count < n/3 → consensus = weighted_median) · f=1, n=3
HOLDS
Byzantine: 0/3
INV-6
D-S Conflict Normalization
□(K < 1.0 → τ_fused = combination/(1−K)) · K=1 undefined
HOLDS
K_max: 0.000
INV-7
α(H) Continuity at H_limit
α(2.5⁻) = 1−0.25(2.5−0.5) = 0.5 = α_min · continuous, no jump
PROVEN
α(2.5)=0.500
BDA Multi-Factor Threat Assessment
score = 0.3·τ + 0.3·P_dec + 0.25·(1−IFF) + 0.15·(1−α) ← high τ means detected submarine → HIGH threat
Authority Explainability — Why is A low?
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Waterfall contribution to authority reduction. Green = safe, Red = threat driver.
Monte Carlo Configuration
Trials N
Mode
PRNG Seed
Mean τ
Std τ
Min A
Max A
P(unsafe)
P(A<0.3)
Mean Pd
E-Stop %
Mulberry32 PRNG · Reproducible
All trials use seeded PRNG.
Same seed → identical results.
Authority Distribution Histogram (N trials)
τ_fused Distribution
SHA-256 Hash Chain · Web Crypto API
Chain integrity:
VALID
Entries: 0
Latest hash:
Invariant Violation Summary
Pipeline Latency Model
SATA: 12±3ms · ADARA: 8±2ms · IFF: 6±2ms
HMAA: 4±1ms · MAIVA: 45±20ms (acoustic)
FLAME: 2±1ms · CARA: 3±1ms · BDA: 5±2ms
Total: ms · Budget: 150ms
NMEA Protocol Framing
$AIVDM,1,1,,A,15M:Yb?P00G?T...
$GPGGA,123519,4807.038,N,01131.000,E,...
$GPGLL,4916.45,N,12311.12,W,225444,A,*1D
ROE Decision Matrix
ROE LevelBDAIFFRelay Permitted
WEAPONS_HOLDANYANYNEVER
WEAPONS_TIGHTCRITICALHOSTILECRITICAL+HOSTILE only
WEAPONS_FREE≥MEDIUM≠MATCHAny threat detected
Current ROE: WEAPONS_HOLD
Active condition: relay locked — HOLD
HOTL Authority Timeline
Protocol: REQUEST(3t) → DELIBERATING(15t) → GRANT/DENY/TIMEOUT
TIMEOUT → CARA escalates to RESTRICT automatically
Degraded Mode Authority Table (DMAT) — MIL-STD-882E
20 critical sensor-degradation combinations → governance outcome. Per MIL-STD-882E System Safety Assessment.
Deterministic Replay Log
Entries: 0
Full input+output log. Export → exact replay possible from any tick.
Simplex Monitor Coverage
Safety properties verified every tick. Override = main pipeline violated invariant.
Total overrides: 0
Design-by-Contract — computeFrame() Preconditions + Postconditions (NASA JPL CLARAty)
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A2 · Certification Evidence Traceability Matrix — DO-178C / MIL-STD-882E
Maps each safety requirement to: LTL property · computeFrame code location · MC evidence · Runtime check count · TLA+ property
A1 · STPA Control Structure (STAMP/STPA)
Unsafe Control Actions (UCAs) per MIL-STD-882E / NASA-STD-8739.8. Each arrow = control path; each UCA = governance hazard.
A4 · WCET — Worst-Case Execution Time per Pipeline Stage
Measured via performance.now() · Jetson AGX Orin @ 2GHz ≈ 13ns/cycle · 150ms total budget
A3 · Adversarial Input Fuzzing — Safety Bound Proof
10K trials, adversary maximizes P(unsafe) within physical bounds. If P(unsafe)=0.000%, architecture is adversarially robust.
Adversary seed: (crypto.getRandomValues per run)
Click to run adversarial fuzzing...
B5 · BDA ROC Curve + Confusion Matrix (Neyman-Pearson Framework)
ROC: TPR vs FPR across BDA thresholds. αNP = max allowable FPR (adjustable per threat environment).
αNP FPR limit: 1.0%
AUC:
Confusion matrix at current BDA threshold (score > 0.5 = threat).
Neyman-Pearson: maximize TPR subject to FPR ≤ αNP = 0.01
✅ WITH BLADE-MARITIME Authority-governed · ROE enforced · C2 monitored
⚓ BLADE-MARITIME MISSION CONTROL
Route: WAYPOINT A → WAYPOINT B
Ship: USV-BLADE-01
Speed: 12.4 kt
Bearing: 047°
ETA:
Governance: NOMINAL
Authority:
Effector: OPEN
Planned route   Actual track   Threat contact   Unknown   Own ship   EEZ boundary
❌ WITHOUT BLADE-MARITIME No governance · No ROE · No safety monitor
⚠ INCIDENTS
Collisions: 0
ROE violations: 0
EEZ breaches: 0
False fires: 0
Mission Progress
WPT-A (Origin)WPT-B (Destination)
0% complete · nm remaining
Governance State
NOMINAL
τ_fused:
Authority A:
CARA: NOM
ROE: WEAPONS_HOLD
C2 Link: LINKED
Threat Picture
No threats detected
Mission Log
Real-World Demonstration
This mission simulation shows the BLADE-MARITIME governance architecture operating in a live tasking scenario.

The USV autonomously navigates A→B while the 9-module pipeline (SATA→ADARA→IFF→HMAA→MAIVA→FLAME→CARA→BDA→EFFECTOR) governs every decision in real time.

When threat contacts are detected, the governance system enforces ROE, escalates CARA, and authorizes or blocks the effector — demonstrating authority-governed autonomy for U.S. national security applications.
NOMINAL τ=0.800 A=0.800 IFF=MATCH BDA=LOW FLAME=NOMINAL CARA=NOM Relay=OPEN BLADE-MARITIME v3.11 · DOI:10.5281/zenodo.19246785 · Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) · Patents: HMAA 63/999,105 · CARA 64/000,170 · SATA 64/002,453 · FLAME 64/005,607